Will Missouri voters approve the Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment in the 2024 general election?

Started Aug 16, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC

On 13 August 2024, the Missouri Secretary of State certified the "Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment" for the 2024 general election, which would, among other things, remove the state's ban on abortion (Missouri Secretary of State, Ballotpedia, ABC News). As of the 2024 general election, Missouri state constitutional amendments require approval by a simple majority (Missouri Constitution, see Article XII, Section 2(b)).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 5 November 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 85%
No 15%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 62
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 161
Number of Forecasts 138
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 426
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.030917
3.
-0.023016
4.
-0.02108
5.
-0.019537

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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