Who will Japan's Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) elect as its next president to replace Fumio Kishida?
Started
Aug 16, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Prime Minister Kishida unexpectedly announced that he would not seek reelection as the president of the LDP, which paves the way for the party to pick a new leader who will be the next presumptive prime minister (AP, NPR, ABC News).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shigeru Ishiba | 25.60% | +0.20% | +0.40% | -5.40% |
| Yoko Kamikawa | 0.80% | -0.50% | -0.80% | -3.20% |
| Katsunobu Kato | 0.20% | -0.30% | -0.60% | -5.80% |
| Takayuki Kobayashi | 2.20% | +0.20% | -0.10% | +1.20% |
| Shinjiro Koizumi | 28.10% | +1.20% | +1.90% | +21.10% |
| Taro Kono | 21.00% | -1.90% | -2.90% | -12.00% |
| Toshimitsu Motegi | 1.10% | +0.10% | -0.30% | -6.90% |
| Sanae Takaichi | 20.00% | +1.40% | +3.00% | +16.00% |
| Someone else | 0.80% | -0.30% | -0.30% | -4.20% |
| The LDP will not elect a new president before 9 November 2024 | 0.20% | -0.10% | -0.30% | -0.80% |