probahilliby asks:

Who will win the House of Representatives election for Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District in 2024?

Started Aug 19, 2024 04:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC

All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives are up for election this November, with Republicans fighting to maintain control of the closely divided House (270 to Win, Ballotpedia).

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The question closed "The Republican Party candidate" with a closing date of 5 November 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party candidate 80%
The Republican Party candidate 20%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 34
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 161
Number of Forecasts 101
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 426
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.312287
2.
-0.295521
3.
-0.291446
4.
-0.205221
5.
-0.19461

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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