probahilliby asks:
Who will win the House of Representatives election for Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District in 2024?
Started
Aug 19, 2024 04:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives are up for election this November, with Republicans fighting to maintain control of the closely divided House (270 to Win, Ballotpedia).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "The Republican Party candidate" with a closing date of 5 November 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
The Democratic Party candidate | 80% | |
The Republican Party candidate | 20% | |
Someone else | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 34 |
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 161 | |
Number of Forecasts | 101 |
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 426 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |