erikbays asks:
What will be the closing price for gold per troy ounce on 22 November 2024, according to Trading Economics?
Started
Aug 23, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 22, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closed Nov 22, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Gold prices reached an all-time high in August 2024 amid Federal Reserve interest rate cut expectations and demand from central banks (CNBC, Yahoo [Bloomberg]). The question will be suspended on 21 November 2024 and the outcome determined using price data (USD/t. oz) as reported by Trading Economics (Trading Economics).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "At least $2,660, but less than $2,740" with a closing date of 22 November 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $2,100 | 1% | |
| At least $2,100, but less than $2,180 | 0% | |
| At least $2,180, but less than $2,260 | 0% | |
| At least $2,260, but less than $2,340 | 0% | |
| At least $2,340, but less than $2,420 | 0% | |
| At least $2,420, but less than $2,500 | 0% | |
| At least $2,500, but less than $2,580 | 1% | |
| At least $2,580, but less than $2,660 | 24% | |
| At least $2,660, but less than $2,740 | 71% | |
| At least $2,740, but less than $2,820 | 3% | |
| At least $2,820, but less than $2,900 | 0% | |
| $2,900 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 34 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 161 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 460 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 426 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
