As Russia's war with Ukraine continues, Western sanctions are continuing to put pressure on the Russian financial system as the country grows more dependent on China for trade (Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, Newsweek, Business Insider). The question will be suspended on 26 December 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Trading Economics (Trading Economics, set to "6M").

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.