How many passing touchdowns will New York Jets quarterback Aaron Rodgers throw in the 2024 NFL regular season?

Started Aug 23, 2024 05:00PM
Closed Jan 5, 2025 08:01AM (a day ago)

After former Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers injured himself in his first game with the Jets in 2023 with a season-ending Achilles injury, he is back for the 2024 season (CBS Sports, Central Jersey). The outcome will be determined using "NFL Player Passing Stats" data as reported by ESPN for the 2024 Regular Season (ESPN, click "Offense," then "Passing," then check the "TD" column). The team for whom Rodgers may be playing in the regular season is immaterial to the resolution. The question will close early if Rodgers, for whatever reason, will not be able to play another game in the regular season.

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The question closed "Between 22 and 28" with a closing date of 5 January 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 8 0%
Between 8 and 14 0%
Between 15 and 21 0%
Between 22 and 28 100%
Between 29 and 35 1%
Between 36 and 42 0%
Between 43 and 49 0%
50 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 28
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 290
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 425
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.043127
2.
-0.017408
3.
-0.011576
4.
-0.009223
5.
-0.008775

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Aug 23, 2024 10:40AM PDT (135 days before close, question was 0% complete)
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