Will the governments of Brazil and/or Colombia recognize Nicolás Maduro as the legitimate president-elect of Venezuela before 1 December 2024?
Closed Dec 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC
The governments of Brazil, Colombia, and Mexico have been seeking to find a political solution to the impasse in Venezuela in the wake of the July 2024 reelection of President Maduro that the opposition and many countries deem to have been illegitimate (AP, Newsweek, CNN [in Spanish], Brazil Ministry of Foreign Affairs - Joint Declaration of Brazil and Colombia 24 August 2024). A statement asserting that Maduro legitimately won the 2024 election or acknowledging that Maduro will legitimately begin a new term in January 2025 will count.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 December 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, only Brazil | 2% | |
| Yes, only Colombia | 2% | |
| Yes, both Brazil and Colombia | 1% | |
| No | 95% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 28 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 163 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 76 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 429 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
