What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 31 December 2024?
Started
Aug 30, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2024 08:01AM UTC
The S&P 500 Index is one of the most followed indices for equity markets in the world (Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 30 December 2024 and the outcome determined using data from S&P as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). On 26 August 2024, the closing value was 5,616.84.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 4,500 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
At least 4,500, but less than 4,775 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
At least 4,775, but less than 5,050 | 1.00% | +1.00% | +1.00% | 0% |
At least 5,050, but less than 5,325 | 3.00% | 0% | +1.00% | 0% |
At least 5,325, but less than 5,600 | 7.00% | 0% | 0% | -3.00% |
At least 5,600 but less than 5,875 | 21.00% | +3.00% | -3.00% | -10.00% |
At least 5,875, but less than 6,150 | 33.00% | -3.00% | -5.00% | -2.00% |
At least 6,150, but less than 6,425 | 27.00% | -1.00% | +4.00% | +10.00% |
At least 6,425, but less than 6,700 | 7.00% | 0% | +2.00% | +5.00% |
6,700 or more | 1.00% | 0% | 0% | 0% |