Will Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi attend the 2024 Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) heads of government summit in Pakistan?

Started Sep 6, 2024 05:00PM
Closed Oct 15, 2024 07:01AM (5 months ago)

Pakistan has formally invited, among others, Modi to attend the 2024 SCO heads of government summit, but it is unknown whether the Indian leader will attend the meeting hosted by its historical rival (Al Jazeera, Asian News International, SCO). Modi must be physically present in Pakistan for an SCO summit event to count. The question would close "No" upon either the official postponement of the summit for the 2024 calendar year or official relocation of the summit outside of Pakistan. The summit is scheduled to be held on 15-16 October 2024 (Dawn).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 16 October 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1%
No 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 25
Average for questions older than 6 months: 181
Number of Forecasts 69
Average for questions older than 6 months: 529
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.015292
3.
-0.015292
4.
-0.015092
5.
-0.013687

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Sep 6, 2024 10:08AM PDT (39 days before close, question was 0% complete)
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