Will Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi attend the 2024 Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) heads of government summit in Pakistan?

Started Sep 06, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 15, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Pakistan has formally invited, among others, Modi to attend the 2024 SCO heads of government summit, but it is unknown whether the Indian leader will attend the meeting hosted by its historical rival (Al Jazeera, Asian News International, SCO). Modi must be physically present in Pakistan for an SCO summit event to count. The question would close "No" upon either the official postponement of the summit for the 2024 calendar year or official relocation of the summit outside of Pakistan. The summit is scheduled to be held on 15-16 October 2024 (Dawn).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 16 October 2024.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1%
No 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 25
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 161
Number of Forecasts 69
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 426
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.015292
3.
-0.015292
4.
-0.015092
5.
-0.013687

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username