Will a winner of the 2024 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences have a faculty appointment at Harvard University or the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) when the prize is announced?
Closed Oct 14, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Both Harvard and MIT have a long history of producing Nobel Laureates among both faculty and graduates (iSchoolConnect). The announcement of the winner or winners of the 2024 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences is scheduled for 14 October 2024 (Nobel Prize - Announcement Dates). A winner with a faculty emeritus title or affiliate faculty title at either institution when the prize is announced will count.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 14 October 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 49% | |
No | 51% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 153 |
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 135 | |
Number of Forecasts | 278 |
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 308 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |