When will all work stoppages (either strikes or lockouts) involving the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers (IAM) union and Boeing cease?
Closed Nov 05, 2024 05:02AM UTC
On Friday 13 September 2024, the IAM began a strike involving approximately 33,000 Boeing workers in the Pacific Northwest, threatening to further complicate Boeing's outlook (AP, Vox, Yahoo [Bloomberg]). A strike will be considered to have ceased as of the date and time the IAM announces the strike has ended or will end, not necessarily when employees return to work.
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The question closed "Between 21 October 2024 and 17 November 2024" with a closing date of 4 November 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 30 September 2024 | 0% | |
| Between 30 September 2024 and 20 October 2024 | 0% | |
| Between 21 October 2024 and 17 November 2024 | 80% | |
| Between 18 November 2024 and 22 December 2024 | 18% | |
| Between 23 December 2024 and 2 February 2025 | 2% | |
| Not before 3 February 2025 | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 38 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 134 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 240 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 307 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
