The Monkey Cage asks
Before 30 April 2017, will the U.S. suspend immigration from any country designated as a state sponsor of terrorism or a terrorist safe haven?
Started
Dec 27, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 27, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 27, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Challenges
This question was resolves as "yes" with an end date of 27 January 2016 (US News, Yahoo! New, NY Times).
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Part of President-elect Trump's plan for his first 100 days in office calls for the suspension of "immigration from terror-prone regions where vetting cannot safely occur" (NPR , NY Times). The president has the power to suspend by proclamation entry of any particular class of citizens from designated countries (8 USC §1182(f)). The U.S. Department of State designates countries as "Terrorist Safe Havens" (U.S. Department of State ) and/or "State Sponsors of Terrorism" (U.S. Department of State). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on Rex Tillerson's Confirmation or on the U.S withdrawing from NAFTA.
Part of President-elect Trump's plan for his first 100 days in office calls for the suspension of "immigration from terror-prone regions where vetting cannot safely occur" (NPR , NY Times). The president has the power to suspend by proclamation entry of any particular class of citizens from designated countries (8 USC §1182(f)). The U.S. Department of State designates countries as "Terrorist Safe Havens" (U.S. Department of State ) and/or "State Sponsors of Terrorism" (U.S. Department of State). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on Rex Tillerson's Confirmation or on the U.S withdrawing from NAFTA.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 77.00% | |
No | 23.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 767 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 191 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1198 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 549 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |