What will be the average Air Quality Index value in New Delhi, India, in October 2024?
Closed Oct 31, 2024 07:01AM UTC
A report from Swiss air quality technology company IQAir indicated that 83 of the 100 cities with the worst air pollution in the world were in India in 2023 (CNN). The question will be suspended on 30 October 2024 and the outcome determined using data from AirNow once complete data for the month of October 2024 are available (AirNow.gov). To access the resolution data on the site, choose "New Delhi" under "Select a City," click on the "Historical" tab, and download the file for "2024 PM2.5 YTD." Add all positive valid data points for the column titled "AQI" (invalid entries are coded as -999, and valid data points are labeled "Valid" under "QC Name") with an "10" under "Month" and divide the sum by the number of valid data points. Averages in October 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, and 2023 were, respectively, 178.58, 190.54, 144.37, 155.23, and 162.41. If the named source changes the way it presents the data, we will make the appropriate modifications to the resolution instructions.
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The question closed "At least 165.00, but less than 175.00" with a closing date of 1 November 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than 115.00 | 0% | |
At least 115.00, but less than 125.00 | 0% | |
At least 125.00, but less than 135.00 | 0% | |
At least 135.00, but less than 145.00 | 0% | |
At least 145.00, but less than 155.00 | 1% | |
At least 155.00, but less than 165.00 | 5% | |
At least 165.00, but less than 175.00 | 86% | |
At least 175.00, but less than 185.00 | 8% | |
At least 185.00, but less than 195.00 | 0% | |
At least 195.00, but less than 205.00 | 0% | |
At least 205.00, but less than 215.00 | 0% | |
215.00 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 20 |
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 161 | |
Number of Forecasts | 155 |
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 426 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |