Will Fitch, Moody's, or S&P downgrade their long-term credit ratings for Israel to one level above "junk" status or to "junk status" before 9 August 2025?

Started Oct 04, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 09, 2025 07:01AM UTC

Amid continued fighting between Israel and Iran, Hamas, and Hezbollah, credit rating agencies have cut Israel's credit rating and have warned about the potential for more cuts (US News & World Report, MSN [Reuters], Fitch Ratings, Investopedia). Fitch, Moody's, and S&P are the "Big Three" global credit rating agencies, which assign ratings on a borrower's likelihood of repaying its debts (Investopedia). One level above "junk" for Fitch, Moody's, and S&P are, respectively, "BBB-," "Baa3," and "BBB-," and any "Non-investment-grade" rating, often referred to as "junk," will count (Fidelity - Bond Ratings). As of 3 October 2024, the long-term credit ratings for Israel were "A" from Fitch, "Baa1" from Moody's, and "A" from S&P.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 15.67% -0.16% -1.00% -2.45%
No 84.33% +0.16% +1.00% +2.45%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username