When will the US next report continued unemployment claims reaching or exceeding two million for two consecutive weeks?
Closing Aug 14, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Continuing claims (aka continued claims) for unemployment insurance are reported weekly by the Department of Labor and a useful measure of the health of the labor market (Investopedia - Continuing Claims). The outcome will be determined using Department of Labor data as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database and based on the date of reporting, typically Thursdays for the week ending the previous Saturday (FRED). Subsequent revisions will be immaterial (e.g., if a week is reported at 2 million but is subsequently revised to 1.99 million, that date would count as reaching or exceeding two million).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 6 December 2024 | 0.70% | 0% | -0.10% | -0.30% |
| Between 6 December 2024 and 6 February 2025 | 3.40% | 0% | 0% | -0.80% |
| Between 7 February 2025 and 10 April 2025 | 19.70% | 0% | -0.50% | +4.00% |
| Between 11 April 2025 and 12 June 2025 | 21.10% | 0% | -0.50% | +3.90% |
| Between 13 June 2025 and 14 August 2025 | 19.50% | 0% | -0.50% | +2.70% |
| Not before 15 August 2025 | 35.60% | 0% | +1.60% | -9.50% |