What will be the US federal budget deficit in FY2025 (1 October 2024 to 30 September 2025)?
Closing Oct 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
The US government has been operating with trillion-dollar deficits for years, which has major financial and economic implications for the country and the world (US News & World Report, CNN, Congressional Budget Office). The question will be suspended on 30 September 2025 and the outcome determined using the Monthly Treasury Statement covering through 30 September 2025 as published by the Department of the Treasury (Department of the Treasury - Monthly Treasury Statements). For FY2023, the US federal budget deficit was reported as $1,695,148 million, or $1.695148 trillion (Department of the Treasury, see page 5).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week |
|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $1.50 trillion | 1.60% | +1.50% | -1.40% |
| At least $1.50 trillion, but less than $1.65 trillion | 3.40% | +2.60% | -15.10% |
| At least $1.65 trillion, but less than $1.80 trillion | 15.50% | -7.40% | -31.60% |
| At least $1.80 trillion, but less than $1.95 trillion | 16.70% | +2.00% | +6.00% |
| At least $1.95 trillion, but less than $2.10 trillion | 24.10% | +1.20% | +19.40% |
| At least $2.10 trillion, but less than $2.25 trillion | 13.00% | +0.10% | +8.70% |
| At least $2.25 trillion, but less than $2.40 trillion | 16.00% | 0% | +9.80% |
| At least $2.40 trillion, but less than $2.55 trillion | 6.90% | 0% | +3.40% |
| At least $2.55 trillion, but less than $2.70 trillion | 2.70% | 0% | +0.70% |
| More than $2.70 trillion | 0.10% | 0% | +0.10% |