How many total Southwest Land Border Encounters will be reported in the US from January 2025 through June 2025 by US Customs and Border Protection (CBP)?
Started
Oct 11, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
While the number of illegal border crossings at the US' border with Mexico trended down in the summer of 2024, the matter remains a major political issue (CNN, ABC 7). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2025 and the outcome determined using data as reported by CBP for the calendar months of January 2025 through June 2025 once data for June 2025 are first reported (CBP). As of the launch of this question, CBP reported a total of 1,036,344 encounters in the US southwest between January 2024 and June 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 360,000 | 7.10% | -0.40% | +1.10% | +3.10% |
| At least 360,000, but fewer than 540,000 | 12.60% | -0.70% | +5.90% | +5.97% |
| At least 540,000, but fewer than 720,000 | 13.80% | -2.00% | +5.10% | -0.20% |
| At least 720,000, but fewer than 900,000 | 28.80% | +0.10% | -3.30% | -3.70% |
| At least 900,000, but fewer than 1,080,000 | 15.80% | -1.10% | +3.40% | +0.80% |
| At least 1,080,000, but fewer than 1,260,000 | 13.00% | +3.50% | +6.30% | +3.00% |
| At least 1,260,000, but fewer than 1,440,000 | 6.50% | +0.50% | -7.70% | -6.63% |
| 1,440,00 or more | 2.40% | +0.10% | -10.80% | -2.35% |