Will Florida voters approve a constitutional amendment establishing a right to abortion before fetal viability in the 2024 general election?
Closing Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
While Florida has imposed a ban on abortions after six weeks of pregnancy, voters in November 2024 will decide on a constitutional amendment protecting abortion under certain circumstances (Ballotpedia, CNN). As of the 2024 general election, Florida state constitutional amendments require approval of at least 60% (Florida Division of Elections - Constitutional Amendments/Initiatives).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.10% | -1.03% | -10.07% |
| No, but the amendment will receive more than 50% of the vote | 44.12% | +0.97% | +1.68% |
| No, and the amendment will not receive more than 50% of the vote | 18.78% | +0.05% | +8.39% |