Will Florida voters approve a constitutional amendment establishing a right to abortion before fetal viability in the 2024 general election?
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC
While Florida has imposed a ban on abortions after six weeks of pregnancy, voters in November 2024 will decide on a constitutional amendment protecting abortion under certain circumstances (Ballotpedia, CNN). As of the 2024 general election, Florida state constitutional amendments require approval of at least 60% (Florida Division of Elections - Constitutional Amendments/Initiatives).
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The question closed "No, but the amendment will receive more than 50% of the vote" with a closing date of 5 November 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 30% | |
| No, but the amendment will receive more than 50% of the vote | 48% | |
| No, and the amendment will not receive more than 50% of the vote | 22% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 157 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 135 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 335 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 308 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
