When will the United Nations Security Council give a mandate for a foreign (i.e., non-Israeli) peacekeeping force to operate in Gaza with the consent of Israel?
Started
Oct 18, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 21, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Closing Dec 21, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Leaders in the Middle East and around the world are considering options for the "day after" fighting in Gaza ends, including a potential peacekeeping force (i24 News, Al Jazeera, Atlantic Council, NYU - Center on International Cooperation). Whether Israel has provided consent will be determined using credible, open-source reporting but must be current as of a mandate being given, and the timing of actual deployment is immaterial.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 10 March 2025 | 5.50% | -0.20% | -6.50% |
| Between 10 March 2025 and 30 July 2025 | 8.05% | -0.05% | -0.95% |
| Between 31 July 2025 and 20 December 2025 | 14.40% | -0.20% | -0.60% |
| Not before 21 December 2025 | 72.05% | +0.45% | +8.05% |