When will the United Nations Security Council give a mandate for a foreign (i.e., non-Israeli) peacekeeping force to operate in Gaza with the consent of Israel?
Started
Oct 18, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 21, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Closing Dec 21, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Leaders in the Middle East and around the world are considering options for the "day after" fighting in Gaza ends, including a potential peacekeeping force (i24 News, Al Jazeera, Atlantic Council, NYU - Center on International Cooperation). Whether Israel has provided consent will be determined using credible, open-source reporting but must be current as of a mandate being given, and the timing of actual deployment is immaterial.
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Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
---|---|---|---|---|
Before 10 March 2025 | 5.15% | -0.05% | -0.35% | -0.35% |
Between 10 March 2025 and 30 July 2025 | 9.20% | -0.35% | +1.15% | -3.30% |
Between 31 July 2025 and 20 December 2025 | 11.60% | -0.40% | -2.80% | -10.48% |
Not before 21 December 2025 | 74.05% | +0.80% | +2.00% | +14.13% |