When will SpaceX next successfully launch a Starship rocket?
Started
Oct 18, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 19, 2024 10:05PM UTC
Closed Nov 19, 2024 10:05PM UTC
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After a very successful launch and landings executed on 13 October 2024, SpaceX is expected to attempt another test of its Starship rocket soon (Orbital Today, USA Today, US News & World Report, SpaceX - Starship). A launch will be considered successful upon a successful first stage separation (Space.com).
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The question closed "Before 1 December 2024" with a closing date of 19 November 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 1 December 2024 | 93% | |
| Between 1 December 2024 and 13 January 2025 | 5% | |
| Between 14 January 2025 and 26 February 2025 | 2% | |
| Not before 27 February 2025 | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 23 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 135 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 93 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 308 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
