Between 1 November 2024 and 31 October 2025, how many total fatalities will occur in the Pakistani province of Balochistan due to conflicts and protests, according to ACLED?

Started Oct 25, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC

Violence in Pakistan's Balochistan province has flared among some notable incidents in 2024, which poses broader implications for Pakistan as a whole (AP, ABC News (Australia), Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty). The question will be suspended on 31 October 2025 if still open and the outcome determined using data as reported by the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) Explorer (ACLED). On the left side of the screen, (1) select "Fatality Counts," (2) select "All Event Types," (3) select "Custom Date Range" and set the date range as appropriate, (4) select nothing, (5) select only "Pakistan," (6) select "Yes," which will present a drop-down menu from which you will select only "Balochistan," (7) select "Admin1," (8) select "No," (9) select "No," (10) select "Yes" and choose "Month," and click "Run Calculations." As of the launch of this question, ACLED reported 742 total fatalities in Balochistan due to conflicts and protests in the first nine months (1 January through 30 September) of 2024. Data will be accessed for resolution no sooner than 17 November 2025, unless ACLED reports fatalities in excess of 3,000 before 17 November 2025.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Fewer than 500 19.00% 0% 0%
At least 500, but fewer than 750 13.70% 0% 0%
At least 750, but fewer than 1,000 16.10% 0% 0%
At least 1,000, but fewer than 1,250 17.20% 0% 0%
At least 1,250, but fewer than 1,500 13.80% 0% 0%
At least 1,500, but fewer than 2,000 6.80% 0% 0%
At least 2,000, but fewer than 3,000 12.10% 0% 0%
3,000 or more 1.30% 0% 0%

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