What will happen next with respect to Spirit Airlines?
Started
Nov 01, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 18, 2024 09:30AM UTC
Closed Nov 18, 2024 09:30AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Many had expected Spirit Airlines to file for bankruptcy soon after a court blocked its merger with JetBlue, though the airline has continued on with negotiations with its creditors and reportedly revived merger talks with Frontier Airlines (Investopedia, Fast Company, US News & World Report).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Spirit Airlines will file for bankruptcy in the US" with a closing date of 18 November 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Spirit Airlines will file for bankruptcy in the US | 58% | |
Spirit Airlines will announce an agreement that it will either merge with or be acquired by another firm | 30% | |
Neither will occur before 15 April 2025 | 12% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 26 |
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 134 | |
Number of Forecasts | 51 |
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 307 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |