What will happen next with respect to Spirit Airlines?

Started Nov 01, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 18, 2024 09:30AM UTC
Challenges
Tags

Many had expected Spirit Airlines to file for bankruptcy soon after a court blocked its merger with JetBlue, though the airline has continued on with negotiations with its creditors and reportedly revived merger talks with Frontier Airlines (Investopedia, Fast Company, US News & World Report).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "Spirit Airlines will file for bankruptcy in the US" with a closing date of 18 November 2024.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Spirit Airlines will file for bankruptcy in the US 58%
Spirit Airlines will announce an agreement that it will either merge with or be acquired by another firm 30%
Neither will occur before 15 April 2025 12%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 26
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 134
Number of Forecasts 51
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 307
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.627353
2.
-0.506953
3.
-0.424894
4.
-0.399388
5.
-0.321953

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username