How many Dáil (lower house) seats will Sinn Féin win in the next Irish general election?
Started
Nov 01, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 29, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closing Nov 29, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
The next Irish general election is due in early 2025, with the popularity of the pro-Irish reunification party Sinn Fein facing scandals and internal division (BBC, Politico, Government of Ireland - Dáil Éireann). The close date for this question will be changed once the official election date is set.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 20 | 1.90% | -0.10% | +0.30% |
| Between 20 and 24 | 21.30% | +0.10% | +3.30% |
| Between 25 and 29 | 18.10% | +0.90% | +3.50% |
| Between 30 and 34 | 33.60% | +0.40% | -0.60% |
| Between 35 and 39 | 15.90% | -0.90% | -3.80% |
| Between 40 and 44 | 6.40% | -0.20% | -2.70% |
| Between 45 and 49 | 2.00% | -0.10% | 0% |
| 50 or more | 0.80% | -0.10% | 0% |