Who will the governor of Ohio publicly announce as the choice to fill the US Senate vacancy to be left by Vice President-elect JD Vance?

Started Nov 08, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 21, 2025 08:01AM UTC

With Senator JD Vance now the vice president-elect after the 2024 US election, the responsibility to replace Vance falls on the governor of Ohio (CNN, Newsweek, Fox News). The new Senate is scheduled to begin on 3 January 2025, and Vance is expected to be inaugurated as vice president on 20 January 2025 (US Constitution - Amendment XX).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Mike Carey 1.80% 0% -1.70%
Warren Davidson 0.10% 0% -0.30%
Matt Dolan 10.20% 0% -3.10%
Jon Husted 6.70% 0% -5.10%
Frank LaRose 11.20% 0% -0.60%
Vivek Ramaswamy 0.10% 0% -0.90%
Jane Timken 47.50% 0% +3.70%
Dave Yost 1.00% 0% -1.50%
Someone else 18.70% 0% +9.50%
The governor of Ohio will not announce a choice to replace JD Vance in the US Senate before 21 January 2025 2.70% 0% 0%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username