Who will the governor of Ohio publicly announce as the choice to fill the US Senate vacancy to be left by Vice President-elect JD Vance?

Started Nov 08, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 21, 2025 08:01AM UTC

With Senator JD Vance now the vice president-elect after the 2024 US election, the responsibility to replace Vance falls on the governor of Ohio (CNN, Newsweek, Fox News). The new Senate is scheduled to begin on 3 January 2025, and Vance is expected to be inaugurated as vice president on 20 January 2025 (US Constitution - Amendment XX).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Mike Carey 3.50% -0.20% +1.50%
Warren Davidson 0.20% 0% -1.40%
Matt Dolan 22.20% 0% +7.00%
Jon Husted 12.80% -1.00% -8.10%
Frank LaRose 19.20% 0% +5.80%
Vivek Ramaswamy 0.70% 0% -15.70%
Jane Timken 33.30% +1.20% +17.10%
Dave Yost 3.60% -0.10% -2.60%
Someone else 3.50% +0.10% -4.40%
The governor of Ohio will not announce a choice to replace JD Vance in the US Senate before 21 January 2025 1.00% 0% +0.80%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username