What will be the Bank of England's Bank Rate at close of business on 19 December 2024?

Started Nov 08, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 19, 2024 08:01AM UTC

The Bank of England, the UK's central bank, cut its benchmark Bank Rate by 0.25% for a second time in 2024 at its November monetary policy meeting (Bank of England - Monetary Policy Summary, August 2024, AP). The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) sets the Bank Rate, which, as of 7 November 2024, was 4.75% (Bank of England - Bank Rate, Bank of England - Monetary Policy Summary, November 2024). As of the launch of this question, the MPC's next monetary policy meeting announcement is scheduled for 19 December 2024 (Bank of England - Monetary Policy Committee Calendar).

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The question closed "At least 4.75%, but less than 5.00%" with a closing date of 19 December 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 4.25% 7%
At least 4.25%, but less than 4.50% 3%
At least 4.50%, but less than 4.75% 8%
At least 4.75%, but less than 5.00% 81%
5.00% or more 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 28
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 133
Number of Forecasts 121
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 304
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.022954
2.
-0.021191
3.
-0.0206
4.
-0.01896
5.
-0.012046

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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