Will Geert Wilders become prime minister of the Netherlands after the March 2017 elections?
Started
Jan 10, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 15, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 15, 2017 05:00PM UTC
The Netherlands is scheduled to hold parliamentary elections on 15 March 2017 and Geert Wilders, the head of the Freedom Party (PVV), has been ahead in the polls (Express UK). If no government is formed after the March elections and subsequent elections are scheduled, the question will resolve as "no."
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If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on whether Ban Ki-moon will announce that he is running for president of South Korea or on whether Syria will hold UN backed elections before 1 January 2018.
As of 3 October, the Dutch government is still being formed, and a prime minister has not yet been decided. This question will be scored when a prime minister is announced.
Geert Wilders did not become prime minister. (Politico) This question closed as “b) No,” with and end date of 15 March 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on whether Ban Ki-moon will announce that he is running for president of South Korea or on whether Syria will hold UN backed elections before 1 January 2018.
As of 3 October, the Dutch government is still being formed, and a prime minister has not yet been decided. This question will be scored when a prime minister is announced.
Geert Wilders did not become prime minister. (Politico) This question closed as “b) No,” with and end date of 15 March 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 5.00% | |
No | 95.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 339 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 680 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |