When will the next Italian general election occur?
Started
Jan 10, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
Although the next general election is not due until 2018, outgoing Prime Minister Mateo Renzi's failed constitutional referendum has set off a political crisis in Italy which may lead to early elections (The Economist, CNBC, Reuters).
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If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on whether Geert Wilders will become prime minister of the Netherlands or on whether Ban Ki-moon will announce that he is running for president of South Korea The next Italian general election did not yet occur. This question closed as "Not before 1 January 2018" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on whether Geert Wilders will become prime minister of the Netherlands or on whether Ban Ki-moon will announce that he is running for president of South Korea The next Italian general election did not yet occur. This question closed as "Not before 1 January 2018" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 1 April 2017 | 0% | |
| Between 1 April 2017 and 30 June 2017, inclusive | 0% | |
| Between 1 July 2017 and 30 September 2017, inclusive | 0% | |
| Between 1 October 2017 and 31 December 2017, inclusive | 0% | |
| Not before 1 January 2018 | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 200 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1170 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
