What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 29 November 2024?

Started Nov 13, 2024 09:00AM UTC
Closed Nov 29, 2024 08:01AM UTC

The S&P 500 Index is one of the most followed indices for equity markets in the world (Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 28 November 2024 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Google Finance (Google Finance, set to "6M"). On 8 November 2024, the closing value was 5,995.54.

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TThe question closed "At least 5,900, but less than 6,080" with a closing date of 29 November 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 5,000 0%
At least 5,000, but less than 5,180 0%
At least 5,180, but less than 5,360 0%
At least 5,360, but less than 5,540 0%
At least 5,540, but less than 5,720 1%
At least 5,720, but less than 5,900 6%
At least 5,900, but less than 6,080 77%
At least 6,080, but less than 6,260 13%
At least 6,260, but less than 6,440 2%
At least 6,440, but less than 6,620 1%
At least 6,620, but less than 6,800 0%
At least 6,800, but less than 6,980 0%
6,980 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 136
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 133
Number of Forecasts 439
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 304
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.033549
2.
-0.033053
3.
-0.03078
4.
-0.029068
5.
-0.02269

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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