Kinnaj asks:
Will Matt Gaetz be sworn in as US Attorney General before 1 April 2025?
Closed Nov 21, 2024 05:24PM UTC
President-elect Donald Trump surprised many in Washington by naming Representative Matt Gaetz as his pick for Attorney General (BBC, The Hill). Trump has called for the Senate to allow him to make recess appointments, which has historically been a point of friction between the White House and Senate in recent history (Newsweek, Congressional Research Service). If Trump's transition team or administration publicly announces that Trump is no longer seeking Gaetz's appointment as Attorney General or Gaetz publicly announces that he is no longer seeking the job, the question will close early as "No."
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 21 November 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, after having been confirmed by the US Senate | 19% | |
| Yes, after a recess appointment by the president | 20% | |
| No | 61% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 73 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 133 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 130 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 304 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
