Who will the governor of Florida publicly announce as the choice to fill the US Senate vacancy to be left by Senator Marco Rubio?
Closing Feb 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
With Senator Marco Rubio expected to be appointed US Secretary of State after Donald Trump's election victory, the responsibility to replace Rubio will fall on the governor of Florida (The Hill, NY Post, CBS News). The new Senate is scheduled to begin on 3 January 2025, and Secretaries of State are customarily nominated and confirmed within days of a new president's inauguration on 20 January (US Constitution - Amendment XX, Center for Presidential Transition). The question will close early upon Trump's transition team or administration publicly announcing that Trump is no longer seeking Rubio's appointment as Secretary of State or Rubio publicly announcing that he is no longer seeking the job.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ron DeSantis | 7.90% | -0.30% | +1.80% | +2.20% |
| Ashley Moody | 29.80% | -0.20% | +18.10% | +23.00% |
| Jeanette Nuñez | 15.00% | -0.20% | +1.40% | -4.50% |
| José Oliva | 4.60% | -0.20% | +0.50% | +1.80% |
| Jimmy Patronis | 1.40% | -0.10% | +0.80% | +0.30% |
| Lara Trump | 0.60% | -6.00% | -45.30% | -35.40% |
| James Uthmeier | 4.50% | -0.10% | +0.60% | -9.00% |
| Someone else | 34.00% | +8.50% | +21.50% | +20.90% |
| The governor of Florida will not announce a choice to replace Marco Rubio in the US Senate before 1 February 2025 | 2.20% | -1.40% | +0.60% | +0.70% |