Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Which team will win the 2025 College Football Playoff National Championship?
Started
Nov 15, 2024 06:00PM
Closed Jan 20, 2025 08:01AM (3 months ago)
Closed Jan 20, 2025 08:01AM (3 months ago)
The two semifinal games are scheduled for 9-10 January 2025, and the national championship game is scheduled for 20 January 2025 in Atlanta, Georgia (College Football Playoff).
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The question closed "Ohio State Buckeyes" with a closing date of 20 January 2025.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Alabama Crimson Tide | 0% | |
Boise State Broncos | 0% | |
Brigham Young (BYU) Cougars | 0% | |
Georgia Bulldogs | 0% | |
Indiana Hoosiers | 0% | |
Miami Hurricanes | 0% | |
Mississippi (Ole Miss) Rebels | 0% | |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 27% | |
Ohio State Buckeyes | 73% | |
Oregon Ducks | 0% | |
Penn State Nittany Lions | 0% | |
Tennessee Volunteers | 0% | |
Texas Longhorns | 0% | |
Another team | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 46 |
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 153 | |
Number of Forecasts | 278 |
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 407 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Jan 1, 2025 3:30PM PST (19 days before close, question was 71% complete)