The Economist asks:

How many Bundestag seats will the Christian Democratic Union (CDU)/Christian Social Union (CSU) win in the 2025 German federal election?

Started Nov 20, 2024 11:00AM UTC
Closing Sep 28, 2025 07:01AM UTC

After the governing coalition led by the Social Democrats (SPD) collapsed, German leaders have tentatively agreed to seek a new election date in February 2025 after a planned vote of confidence in December 2024, which moves it up from the 28 September 2025 date previously announced (Economist, Politico, Deutsche Welle, Deutschland.de). In a change, there will be 630 seats up for the next Bundestag (Politico). If the election date is changed, the closing date will be adjusted accordingly.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Fewer than 166 5.00% 0%
Between 166 and 215 28.00% 0%
Between 216 and 265 54.00% 0%
Between 266 and 315 12.00% 0%
More than 315 1.00% 0%

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