The Economist asks:
How many seats will the Liberal-National Coalition (the Coalition) win in the next Australian House of Representatives elections?
Closing Sep 27, 2025 07:01AM UTC
While domestic issues were dominating Australian politics in October 2024, defense issues remain present (Economist, Ipsos - Issue Monitor October 2024). The next Australian House of Representatives is scheduled to take place no later than 27 September 2025, with Labor and the Coalition vying for control of a new government (Parliament of Australia, Sydney Morning Herald, The Conversation, RedBridge). The close date for this question will be changed once the official election date is set. Any by-election results will be immaterial.
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NOTE 23 November 2024: A "majority" is more than 50% of seats. A "plurality" is more seats than any other party/electoral coalition, but less than a majority.