The Economist asks:
What will be China's estimated annual GDP growth rate for 2025, according to the IMF?
Closing Apr 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Ongoing trouble in China's real estate sector and related debt fears are expected to remain as headwinds for the country's economic growth (Economist, CNBC). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2025 and the outcome determined using International Monetary Fund (IMF) real GDP data from the first release of the World Economic Outlook Database in 2025, which is expected in April 2025. At the IMF website (IMF - World Economic Outlook Databases), choose the appropriate "World Economic Outlook Database," then click "By Countries." In the reporting tool page, 1) select "EMERGING AND DEVELOPING ASIA," 2) click the "CLEAR ALL" button, then "China," then click "CONTINUE," 3) select "Gross domestic product, constant prices PERCENT CHANGE," then click "CONTINUE," 4) set the "Start Year" and "End Year" as you wish, then press the "PREPARE REPORT" button. China's annual GDP growth rate for 2025 was estimated to be 4.484% according to the October 2024 database (IMF - World Economic Outlook Database October 2024).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 2.60% | 1.61% | -0.62% | -0.39% | -3.74% |
| At least 2.60%, but less than 3.20% | 5.02% | -0.38% | -0.98% | -4.25% |
| At least 3.20%, but less than 3.80% | 14.39% | +0.12% | +0.39% | +0.70% |
| At least 3.80%, but less than 4.40% | 33.37% | +0.35% | +1.37% | +9.93% |
| At least 4.40%, but less than 5.00% | 34.74% | +0.56% | +0.74% | +2.18% |
| At least 5.00%, but less than 5.60% | 7.81% | 0% | -1.19% | -4.84% |
| 5.60% or higher | 3.06% | -0.04% | +0.06% | +0.02% |