The Economist asks:
What will be the monthly global land and sea temperature anomaly for July 2025, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)?
Started
Nov 20, 2024 11:00AM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Tags
Recorded global surface temperatures have risen steadily over the past decades (Economist, NASA). The question will be suspended on 31 July 2025 and the outcome determined using data published by NOAA, expected in August 2025 (NOAA, click "Download" for all data with the site's default settings [Monthly, Global, Land and Ocean, and CSV]). As of the launch of this question, the anomaly for July 2024 was 1.22°C.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 0.90°C | 5.00% | +0.08% | -2.00% | -0.78% |
| At least 0.90°C, but less than 1.10°C | 13.00% | -0.97% | 0% | +3.37% |
| At least 1.10°C, but less than 1.30°C | 41.00% | -1.36% | -1.00% | -1.23% |
| At least 1.30°C, but less than 1.50°C | 28.00% | +0.98% | +2.00% | -1.80% |
| 1.50°C or more | 13.00% | +1.27% | +1.00% | +0.42% |