Before 1 January 2018, will Turkey, Montenegro, Albania, Serbia, or Macedonia announce that it is suspending its participation in EU membership negotiations or withdrawing from the EU accession process?

Started Jan 17, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC

Albania, Montenegro, Serbia, Turkey, and the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia are official candidates for EU membership (European Commission). In March 2015, Iceland withdrew from the EU membership process (Euractiv, European Commission), and the UK's vote to leave the EU has heightened concerns that enlargement may stall. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Montenegro, Albania, Serbia, or Macedonia did not announce that it is suspending its participation in EU membership negotiations or withdrawing from the EU accession process. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Question clarification
Issued on 07/20/17 02:39pm
EU announcements about the accession process have no bearing on the resolution of the question.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 293
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 1022
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.09517
2.
-0.093344
3.
-0.092555
4.
-0.088415
5.
-0.088415

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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