What will the president's approval rating be as of 20 July 2025, according to FiveThirtyEight?
Started
Nov 22, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 20, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Closing Jul 20, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
The question will be suspended on 19 July 2025 and the outcome determined using "All polls" chart data provided by FiveThirtyEight's presidential approval page (FiveThirtyEight - Previous Trump Approval Ratings, FiveThirtyEight - Trump Favorability Ratings). When FiveThirtyEight begins publishing current job approval data, we will post the link on this page. The data for 20 July 2025 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 24 July 2025.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lower than 38.0% | 18.00% | -1.00% | +3.00% |
| At least 38.0%, but less than 40.0% | 15.00% | -1.00% | -3.00% |
| At least 40.0%, but less than 42.0% | 20.00% | +4.00% | +5.00% |
| At least 42.0%, but less than 44.0% | 13.00% | -1.00% | 0% |
| At least 44.0%, but less than 46.0% | 14.00% | -1.00% | +1.00% |
| At least 46.0%, but less than 48.0% | 11.00% | 0% | 0% |
| At least 48.0%, but less than 50.0% | 7.00% | 0% | 0% |
| At least 50.0%, but less than 52.0% | 2.00% | 0% | -1.00% |
| At least 52.0%, but less than 54.0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 54.0% or higher | 0% | 0% | -5.00% |