Zan-Ozimek asks:
Will Hunter Biden receive a presidential pardon or other clemency before noon (Eastern time) on 20 January 2025?
Closed Dec 02, 2024 12:30AM UTC
President Biden's son, Hunter, was convicted on gun charges and pled guilty to federal tax charges in 2024 (AP, Department of Justice). President Biden's term end at noon ET on 20 January 2025, and there is speculation that he may commute or pardon his son, though the White House has previously stated that no pardon is planned (CBS News, The Hill). A pardon completely absolves a person of criminal liability, while commutation and reprieve are lesser forms of reducing the sentence or punishment for a criminal act or conviction (Cornell - Clemency, Cornell - Pardon, Cornell - Commutation, Cornell - Reprieve). Clemency less than a full pardon on some, but not all, criminal convictions will count.
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The question closed "Yes, a full pardon on all criminal convictions" with a closing date of 1 December 2024.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes, a full pardon on all criminal convictions | 24% | |
Yes, but some form of clemency less than a full pardon on all criminal convictions | 18% | |
No | 58% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 54 |
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 133 | |
Number of Forecasts | 88 |
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 304 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |