The Economist asks:

What will be the price for uranium per pound in March 2025, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF)?

Started Nov 29, 2024 06:00PM
Closed Apr 1, 2025 07:01AM (25 days ago)

Potential increases in nuclear energy production and Russian sanctions on exports to the US have pushed up uranium prices (Economist, US News & World Report). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2025 and the outcome determined using IMF price data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). In March 2024, the price of uranium per pound was $71.81428.

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The question closed "Less than $55.000" with a closing date of 1 April 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $55.000 69%
At least $55.000, but less than $60.000 18%
At least $60.000, but less than $65.000 6%
At least $65.000, but less than $70.000 3%
At least $70.000, but less than $75.000 2%
At least $75.000, but less than $80.000 1%
At least $80.000, but less than $85.000 1%
At least $85.000, but less than $90.000 0%
At least $90.000, but less than $95.000 0%
At least $95.000, but less than $100.000 0%
$100.000 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 188
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 152
Number of Forecasts 768
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 404
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.531807
2.
-0.463448
3.
-0.435477
4.
-0.368315
5.
-0.364396

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Mar 12, 2025 3:04PM PDT (20 days before close, question was 84% complete)
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