What will be the US civilian unemployment rate (U3) for March 2025?
Started
Nov 29, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
The US unemployment rate has remained relatively low in 2024 (Yahoo [Reuters], ABC News). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2025 and the outcome determined using the Bureau of Labor Statistics' (BLS's) official civilian unemployment rate (U3) as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database when first released, expected in early April 2025 (FRED). As of the launch of this question, the unemployment rate for March 2024 was 3.8%.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 3.7% | 3.00% | -0.43% |
| At least 3.7%, but less than 4.0% | 27.00% | +1.43% |
| At least 4.0%, but less than 4.3% | 62.00% | 0% |
| At least 4.3%, but less than 4.6% | 7.00% | +2.21% |
| At least 4.6%, but less than 4.9% | 1.00% | -0.64% |
| At least 4.9%, but less than 5.2% | 0% | -0.86% |
| At least 5.2%, but less than 5.5% | 0% | -0.86% |
| 5.5% or more | 0% | -0.86% |