What will be the US annual real GDP growth rate for the first quarter of 2025?

Started Nov 29, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC

The question will be suspended on 31 March 2025 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED), expected in late April 2025 (FRED, BEA - Release Schedule). As of the launch of this question, the real GDP growth rate for the first quarter of 2024 was 1.6%.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Down by more than 1.0% 1.00% -8.00% +0.10%
Down by more than 0.0% but at most 1.0% 1.00% 0% +0.70%
Up by at least 0.0%, but less than 1.0% 9.00% +1.00% +4.50%
Up by at least 1.0%, but less than 2.0% 30.00% +3.00% +1.60%
Up by at least 2.0%, but less than 3.0% 40.00% +3.00% -7.40%
Up by 3.0% or more 19.00% +1.00% +0.50%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username