What will be the average price of a dozen large eggs in the US in March 2025?

Started Nov 29, 2024 06:00PM
Closed Apr 1, 2025 07:01AM (15 days ago)

Egg prices in the US have begun to rise as avian flu has led to millions of commercial chickens being killed to prevent its spread (CNN). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2025 and the outcome determined using Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) price data as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). As of the launch of this question, the price of a dozen Grade A, large eggs in March 2024 in the US was $2.992.

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The question closed "$5.200 or more" with a closing date of 1 April 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $2.000 0%
At least $2.000, but less than $2.400 0%
At least $2.400, but less than $2.800 0%
At least $2.800, but less than $3.200 10%
At least $3.200, but less than $3.600 1%
At least $3.600, but less than $4.000 2%
At least $4.000, but less than $4.400 8%
At least $4.400, but less than $4.800 13%
At least $4.800, but less than $5.200 27%
$5.200 or more 39%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 57
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 153
Number of Forecasts 342
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 407
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.442469
2.
-0.335325
3.
-0.236729
4.
-0.171609
5.
-0.17067

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Jan 15, 2025 9:31AM PST (76 days before close, question was 38% complete)
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