What will be the closing value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) index on 31 March 2025?

Started Nov 29, 2024 06:00PM
Closed Mar 31, 2025 07:01AM (4 days ago)

The DJIA Index is a price-weighted index of 30 large, publicly traded companies (Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 30 March 2025 and the outcome determined using data from S&P as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). On 25 November 2024, the closing value was 44,736.57.

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The question closed "At least 42,000, but less than 44,000" with a closing date of 31 March 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 36,000 0%
At least 36,000, but less than 38,000 1%
At least 38,000, but less than 40,000 1%
At least 40,000, but less than 42,000 63%
At least 42,000, but less than 44,000 30%
At least 44,000, but less than 46,000 2%
At least 46,000, but less than 48,000 1%
At least 48,000, but less than 50,000 1%
At least 50,000, but less than 52,000 1%
At least 52,000, but less than 54,000 0%
54,000 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 46
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 154
Number of Forecasts 224
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 410
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.102378
2.
-0.086487
3.
-0.062118
4.
-0.057083
5.
-0.047533

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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