Who will win the 2025 Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Limited Series, Anthology Series, or a Motion Picture Made for Television?

Started Dec 11, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 05, 2025 08:01AM UTC

The Golden Globes are scheduled for 5 January 2025 (Golden Globes). In the event of a tie, the answer option listed first (top to bottom) among the tied nominees will be considered the winner.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "Colin Farrell (The Penguin)" with a closing date of 5 January 2025.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Andrew Scott (Ripley) 21%
Colin Farrell (The Penguin) 41%
Cooper Koch (Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story) 4%
Ewan McGregor (A Gentleman in Moscow) 12%
Kevin Kline (Disclaimer) 6%
Richard Gadd (Baby Reindeer) 17%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 17
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 130
Number of Forecasts 39
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 298
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.303312
3.
-0.259676
4.
-0.238652
5.
-0.074228

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username