Will the President of the United States issue a pardon to Dr. Anthony Fauci before noon (Eastern time) on 20 January 2025?
Started
Dec 13, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 20, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Closed Jan 20, 2025 08:01AM UTC
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After President Biden pardoned his son Hunter for gun and tax convictions, speculation has arisen that he may also "preemptively" pardon others deemed potential targets of President-elect Trump (Politico, ABC News). President Biden's term ends at noon ET on 20 January 2025 (US Constitution - Twentieth Amendment). Whether Fauci refuses to accept the pardon is immaterial.
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 20 January 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 19% | |
| No | 81% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 52 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 130 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 145 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 298 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
