The Economist asks:

Who will win the 2025 Polish presidential election?

Started Dec 20, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC

Poland is scheduled to hold a presidential election in 2025, with incumbent Andrzej Duda term-limited (Economist, Euractiv, AP). An independent endorsed by a political party counts as a candidate of that political party. If a named candidate is replaced by his party, the answer option for that party will be updated. The next Polish presidential election is expected in May 2025, with a second round 14 days later if no person receives an absolute majority in the first round (Constitution of Poland, see Article 127(4)). The close date for this question will be changed once the official election dates are set.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Szymon Hołownia (Poland 2050) 2.00% -18.00%
Sławomir Mentzen (Confederation Liberty and Independence, sometimes translated "Confederation Freedom and Independence") 2.00% -18.00%
Karol Nawrocki (Law and Justice) 34.00% +14.00%
Rafał Trzaskowski (Civic Coalition) 60.00% +40.00%
Someone else 2.00% -18.00%

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