Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the Federal Reserve announce an upper limit of the US federal funds target range at or below 4.00% before 19 June 2025?

Started Dec 24, 2024 04:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 18, 2025 07:01AM UTC

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates as expected at its December 2024 meeting, but its own projections for cuts in 2025 were reduced for the end of the year (WGBH, Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 17 June 2025 if still open and the outcome determined using statements released by the Federal Reserve (Federal Reserve). As of the launch of this question, the Federal Reserve has four Federal Open Market Committee meetings scheduled between launch and 18 June 2025. As of 23 December 2024, the upper limit was 4.50% (FRED).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Yes 30.75% -2.75%
No 69.25% +2.75%

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