Who will win the Democratic primary for the New Jersey gubernatorial election in 2025?

Started Jan 03, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 10, 2025 07:01AM UTC

The Democratic primary race to replace term-limited Gov. Phil Murphy was already crowded at the beginning of 2025 (WHYY, Newsweek). The Democratic primary is expected to be held on 10 June 2025 (New Jersey Monitor).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Ras Baraka 19.00% -6.00%
Shereef Elnahal 2.20% +1.70%
Steven Fulop 6.20% +3.20%
Josh Gottheimer 19.00% +1.50%
Matt Platkin 3.20% +2.70%
Mikie Sherrill 33.00% -12.00%
Sean Spiller 5.20% +2.20%
Steve Sweeney 8.20% +5.20%
Someone else 4.00% +1.50%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username